A bold prediction, to say the least. If you looked at Europe in the mid-1600s, you would probably think something along the lines of “Wow, these guys are not going to make it.”...
About Noah Smith
The Economist
How Paul Krugman changed the public face of economics
He's a great economist, but he also changed how we talk about the subject. Don’t worry, Paul Krugman is still alive. But he’s retiring as a New York Times columnist, after...
Macro Daily
How we’ll know if Trump is going to sell America out to China
Keep an eye on the export controls. They are the key. Trump isn’t even President yet, and already some people are starting to realize that they didn’t get quite what they hoped...
The Economist
China or America: Who is bigger?
Comparing economies is an inexact science. Comparing the size of countries’ economies is a popular sport, and a lot of people are very invested in the outcomes of those...
Head Of Research
The best-case scenario for Trump’s second term
“God has a special providence for fools, drunkards, and the United States of America.” — Otto von Bismarck Happy Thanksgiving, folks! A friend asked me to write an optimistic...
The Analyst
Why targeted tariffs are more effective than broad tariffs
Something the Trump administration should probably think about. Trump is about to be back in the White House, so tariffs are back on the menu. Actually they never left —...