Serious investment thinking that doesn’t take itself too seriously.

HOME

LOGIN

ABOUT THE CURIOUS INVESTOR GROUP

SUBSCRIBE

SIGN UP TO THE WEEKLY

PARTNERS

TESTIMONIALS

CONTRIBUTORS

CONTACT US

MAGAZINE ARCHIVE

PRIVACY POLICY

SEARCH

-- CATEGORIES --

GREEN CHRONICLE

PODCASTS

THE AGENT

ALTERNATIVE ASSETS

THE ANALYST

THE ARCHITECT

ASTROPHYSIST

THE AUCTIONEER

THE ECONOMIST

EDITORIAL NOTES

FACE TO FACE

THE FARMER

THE FUND MANAGER

THE GUEST ESSAY

THE HEAD HUNTER

HEAD OF RESEARCH

THE HISTORIAN

INVESTORS NOTEBOOK

THE MACRO VIEW

POLITICAL INSIDER

THE PROFESSOR

PROP NOTES

RESIDENTIAL INVESTOR

TECHNOLOGY

UNCORKED

Can Oxford Street sell offices?

by | Mar 11, 2024

The Analyst

Can Oxford Street sell offices?

by | Mar 11, 2024

Marks & Spencer has won its appeal against Michael Gove’s decision to reject the retailer’s plans to demolish and rebuild its Marble Arch store. But are offices on Oxford Street a good idea?

Many years ago, I was having lunch with a London office agent who mentioned in passing that he’d just been appointed on a new office development on Oxford Street.

My words of congratulation were met with a roll of the eyes and the explanation that “no one really wants an office on Oxford Street.” His take was that neither occupiers – nor their visitors – relished the process of ploughing through a sea of shoppers and tourists to get in and out of an office. “It doesn’t scream quality does it?” was his withering verdict.

In 2013, I was reminded of his views when a group of Qatari investors led by Amanda Staveley took over the Park House development at the west end of Oxford Street. Ironically, given more recent events, the scheme was built across the road from the M&S flagship store, and when unveiled was trumpeted as the “largest office development in Mayfair for a decade.”

Leaving aside for a moment the question as to whether Oxford Street can ever really feel like part of Mayfair, the Park House development made halting progress. The street level retail units let with ease, but two years after completion only around 15% of the 165,000 sq ft office component had been let.

At that time, I asked another agent why this was and was told to go to the new building’s entrance and then turn around. I did this and found myself facing a large Primark store. When I later reported back to the agent, she laughed and said: “It’s not quite the brand association you want when emerging from your pricey West End office, is it?”

At pretty much the same time as Park House continued its search for tenants, Facebook signed up for a prelet of all 242,000 sq ft of offices at Great Portfland Estates’ Rathbone Square development at the east end of Oxford Street.

That scheme created the first new London square for a century but its configuration showed no desire to connect with Oxford Street. Greeting the news of the Facebook letting, West End office experts nodded and commented: “Well, it’s close to Oxford Street but it’s not on it is it?”. And eerily on cue in January, Facebook’s parent, Meta, announced it would be vacating Rathbone Square.

And prior to that in September of last year, John Lewis announced it was putting on hold a major redevelopment of its store to create more than 300,000 sq ft of offices. On a more positive note, the redevelopment of the former Debenhams store at 334-338 Oxford Street and will create 289,000 square feet of Grade-A flexible offices.

As is so often the case with a property’s location, a miss is as good as a mile and prevailing attitudes play a part. We specialise in evaluating every UK location in terms of hard economic and demographic data, but also acknowledge that – especially in multi-layered cities like London – perceptions will always influence occupier attitudes.

Oxford Street is clearly a great retail environment that is in transition. After the trauma of many store closures and the arrival of multiple “American candy stores,” the street is now looking ahead to better times with IKEA promisng to open a huge store in the old TopShop on Oxford Circus and HMV coming back to re-occupy its flgaship store next to Bond Street station. Meanwhile, Westminster City Council has unveiled plans to revamp the street by reducing traffic and increasing space for pedestrians.

If the M&S and John Lewis schemes do eventually go-ahead, they have the ability – along with the former Debenhams project – to help tilt Oxford Street away from its predominant shopping mono-culture. But in the meantime, the jury remains out regarding Oxford Street’s attraction as an office location.

This article is an updated version of “M&S Oxford Street: A bullet dodged?”

About Duncan Lamb

About Duncan Lamb

Duncan Lamb is a Director of EvaluateLocate – the spatial intelligence app which brings comparability and consistency to ranking the economic vitality and identity of every UK location.

INVESTOR'S NOTEBOOK

Smart people from around the world share their thoughts

READ MORE >

THE MACRO VIEW

Recent financial news and how it connects across all asset classes

READ MORE >

TECHNOLOGY

Fintech, proptech and what it all means

READ MORE >

PODCASTS

Engaging conversations with strategic thinkers

READ MORE >

THE ARCHITECT

Some of the profession’s best minds

READ MORE >

RESIDENTIAL ADVISOR

Making money from residential property investment

READ MORE >

THE PROFESSOR

Analysis and opinion from the academic sphere

READ MORE >

FACE-TO-FACE

In-depth interviews with leading figures in the real estate/investment world.

READ MORE >