More people, more growth Longtime Random Walk readers know that babymaking and people-growth (and/or the lack thereof) are very important things. It’s pretty simple, really: if you want to grow productivity, then grow the number of productive people you have. Productive people make things, like...
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The Analyst
Offices haven’t hit bottom, yet
Distressed Office sales are the most common saleschecking in on vacancy and absorption ratesthe fabric of American life, forever changed (by longer distance living)not all...
Technology
What would you do if you had eight years left to live?
As you know, I’m a techno-optimist. I particularly love AI and have huge hopes that it will dramatically improve our lives. But I am also concerned about its risks, especially:...
The Economist
Some UK political economic science
Housing and Taxation: The self over all others Whilst taxes levied on UK residential property are never out of season for the "water cooler conversation", the discussion is...
The Economist
Banks are playing it safe, sort of
In today’s dispatch: banks are lending lessbanks are also generating less revenue, and NIM continues to slide (for now)are Zombie banks good?bank exposure to non-bank lending is...
The Economist
The risk of rising CRE losses
Many, too many, have stood where I stand. Many more will stand here too. The markets have been casting a wary eye on rising CRE losses – figuring these may trigger a renewed bout...
The Analyst
Launch when times are hard
Bezos, Google's AI debacle, and how constraints rather than resources drive innovation. Money was tight. It’s hard to even imagine it this day and age, but it’s true. On Wall...
Residential Investor
More housing fixes (almost) everything
Bryan Caplan does not write to be popular. He writes not for causes he thinks are likely to win but for causes that deserve to win. I’ve reviewed almost all of his books: The...
The Professor
Valuations and Write-Downs: Notes from a recent private meeting of USA real estate investors, thinkers and operators
Background: The Hoyt Institute is an invite only think tank based in North Palm Beach, Florida, where industry research leaders and academics partake in a few days of in-depth...
Head Of Research
52-week high and falling fast!
Bloomberg company news continually tells me that real estate shares are hitting a 52-week high. You’d have thought that was good news, and in a way, it is. But it rather masks...