As 2021 begins, the real estate world is starting to process and plan for the achievement of herd immunity in the United States – the moment when transmission of covid-19 cases ceases due to mass vaccination and acquired immunity. Whether that occurs in July or December is beside the point; after...
The Macro View
Our man in the desert looks across all asset classes to give his opinion on the market trends and stock picks.
LATEST ARTICLES
The Macro View
A lowdown on the Abraaj Capital saga
Market View – The tragedy, destiny and endgame of Abraaj Capital F. Scott Fitzgerald, the literary king of Jazz Age New York, and the author of the Great Gatsby, wrote “there...
The Macro View
GCC Focus – Saudi Arabia and the new economics of crude oil
There is absolutely no doubt that the next OPEC ministerial meeting in June will pit Saudi Arabia and its Gulf allies against Iraq, Iran and Venezuela, three founder members of...
The Macro View
Strategy ideas and macro risks in the Indian stock market
After a stellar 28% return in 2017, the BSE Sensex (down 2%) and the NSE Nifty 50 indices in India been a disappointment in 2018 to date. The emerging markets convulsions in May...
The Macro View
Market View – Will a shift in OPEC and Russian output policy mean $56 Brent?
Crude oil prices plunged by 7% in two sessions as Saudi Arabia and Russia confirmed that they would release 1 million barrels a day in the wet barrel markets. Speculative froth...
The Macro View
Market View – The coming emerging markets meltdown
Five years after the 2013 “taper tantrum”, the world is on the brink of yet another emerging market meltdown whose twin epicenters are now Istanbul’s Bosphorus and the Argentine...
The Macro View
Market View – The Federal Reserve and the rise in inflation risk
Market View – The Federal Reserve and the rise in inflation risk The dominant theme of 2018 has been a rise in the bellwether ten-year US Treasury note yield from 2.40% to 3%...
The Macro View
GCC Focus – Saudi Arabian equities are global winners in 2018!
I had written an article titled “six reasons to be bullish Saudi equities in 2018, published in the KT on January 28. Yet I was surprised to see Saudi Arabian equities become the...
The Macro View
Macro Ideas – Is Iraq the world’s next hot frontier stock market?
A dismal legacy of civil war, sanctions, insurgency, foreign invasion and terrorism has had a catastrophic impact on the Iraqi economy. Prime Minister Haider al-Abadi told the...
The Macro View
Market View – The case for profit taking in Indian equities
The Sensex and Nifty seem near a cyclical peak though the declines in Indian midcap/smallcap shares have been draconian. There is no doubt in my mind that, after a stellar 2017,...