Originally published October 2021. The returns are still valid. Looking at the global investment landscape today, there is a gaping hole where dependable fixed interest assets used to be. Successive rounds of central bank purchases have annexed much of the territory that pension, life insurance...
The Macro View
Our man in the desert looks across all asset classes to give his opinion on the market trends and stock picks.
LATEST ARTICLES
The Macro View
What next for crude oil prices?
The price war between Saudi Arabia and Russia has wreaked havoc on the global crude oil market. Brent crude, $74 a barrel just after the US drone hit on Iran’s General...
The Macro View
What Is the Macroeconomic Analog to Coronavirus Panic?
All leaders, not just generals, tend to fight the last “war.” All readers of Hayek know why: they feel compelled to promulgate a response but lack sufficient information to make...
The Macro View
My golden Greek memories and the Athens property market in 2020
It was a delight to discuss the Greek property market with one of my oldest investor friends in Dubai as our wives chatted over delicious Burmese Khowsuey in the patio of his...
The Macro View
What awaits the Euro, yen and crude oil this week?
The US dollar is the traditional safe haven currency during times of geopolitical or financial stress even when the cause of a risk aversion spasm is ultimately American, such as...
The Macro View
The Saudi Aramco IPO shares face rising risks in 2020.
A month and a half after Saudi Aramco’s historic IPO on the Tadawul exchange in Riyadh, I conclude a few salient themes from its price action and trading patterns. One, the $2...
The Macro View
History’s first virus triggered global recession has already begun – and the Fed is clueless.
Thankfully, I was not in the global markets during the Black Death, the Great Plague and the Spanish flu pandemic but coronavirus cases have now crossed 40,000 infections and...
The Macro View
The Aga Khan and Portugal’s golden real estate market!
Portugal has been a fabulously profitable market for a few prescient real estate investors from the UAE since 2015, with close friends telling me that prices of their apartments...
The Macro View
The poisoned prize: the quest for oil, money and power in Libya.
Libya, more than any other province of the kingdom of black gold apart from Iraq, has been a tragic victim of the “oil curse”. Libya possesses 48 billion barrels of proven crude...
The Macro View
Thinking the unthinkable: Lebanon’s sovereign debt default?
The unthinkable has finally happened in a secretive central bank’s digital ledger in the heart of Beirut. The rating agency Fitch predicts imminent default on Lebanon’s sovereign...