Originally published September 2021. Building a commitment to egalitarianism on our genetic uniformity is building a house on sand.– Paige Harden Paige Harden is a University of Texas-Austin behavioral geneticist who does not deny that inborn determinants of IQ can result in unequal...
The Macro View
Our man in the desert looks across all asset classes to give his opinion on the market trends and stock picks.
LATEST ARTICLES
The Macro View
Triumph, tragedy and trauma in the Arab capital markets!
It was the best of times, it was the worst of times. Charles Dickens’s chronicle about Paris and London at the time of the French Revolution in the 1790’s captures my feelings...
The Macro View
The bullish case for $1650 an ounce gold by mid 2020
I have been thinking a lot about the James Bond villain Auric Goldfinger in 2019 – and why not? Spot gold has generated a stellar 17% profit in 2019 to date, despite King Dollar,...
The Macro View
Risk, ruin and leveraged madness for the Arabian Gulf’s bond investors.
I was a tad unnerved by the thousands of views and hundreds of responses to my article that “This crazy bull market will crash and die in 2020”. Guess what? The Dow is down 700...
The Macro View
The Saudi Aramco IPO and Brent crude oil prices will fly in December!
November was a beautiful month for bulls on the North Sea Brent futures contracts traded on the London IPE and Chicago Merc. After all, Brent crude surged from $58 in late...
The Macro View
The UK election and an anatomy of the coming sterling crisis!
Trading sterling based on the eccentricities of UK polling data has been historically a mug’s game – an existential reality magnified by the traumatic fall in cable after the...
The Macro View
SAP shares are up 50% since my €82 buy conviction call in 2018!
I had recommended SAP shares at €82 in the Gulf financial press in early 2018 as its then CEO Bill McDermott committed the firm to the digital transformation of the UAE at...
The Macro View
Lebanon: Ghosts, memories and monetary abyss
I first encountered Lebanon as a teenager after the fabled Choueifat College opened its first UAE campus in Sharjah, fleeing the civil war in the Chouf. My ignorance of the...
The Macro View
The German stock market is up 26% in 2019 despite zero economic growth!
November 2019 is the thirtieth anniversary of the fall of the Berlin Wall that led to the collapse of the Soviet occupied, neo-Stalinist DDR and the eventual reunification of...
The Macro View
Goldman Sachs’s $1.6 – 2.3 trillion valuation range for the Saudi Aramco IPO is insane!
I literally laughed when I heard that Goldman Sachs put a valuation range of $1.6 to $2.3 trillion on the Saudi Aramco IPO. One, a valuation range of $700 million only means the...