Originally published October 2021. It shows just how hard it will be to reach net zero. As the world prepares to discuss more aggressive cuts to carbon emissions at the UN’s COP26 climate conference in Glasgow, China has just sent out the worst possible advance signal. It is going...
The Macro View
Our man in the desert looks across all asset classes to give his opinion on the market trends and stock picks.
LATEST ARTICLES
The Macro View
Buy the Saudi Aramco IPO at a 7.4% forward dividend yield!
Saudi Aramco is the biggest, most profitable company in history ($110 billion revenues in 2018, $40 billion more than Apple). It has been the economic engine of the Arab world’s...
The Macro View
Junk Bonds are Going to Kill Us All
A few years ago I was on Bloomberg one morning and said something like, stocks looked overly expensive and should be due a correction if it wasn’t for the support they were...
The Macro View
Blain’s Morning Porridge
It’s going to be relatively short comment today – I just spent the last 1 ½ hours standing all the way from Southampton to the City. SouthWest Rail decided to reduce the...
The Macro View
There’s finance, and there’s reality
Global financial markets seem increasingly disconnected from real world events – keep your eyes on the macro trends I’ve spent 35 years in finance, and much of the market...
The Macro View
Blain’s Morning Porridge
Why did the Fed Ease? Last night’s Fed decision was anything but unanimous with 10 of the 17 members dissenting – views ranging from no cut to a larger ease. Powell...
The Macro View
Blain’s Morning Porridge
“Sophisticated investors buy negative yielding bonds – are you not a sophisticated investor?” What madness will today bring? From up in the Shard’s Eyrie in the Walkie...
The Macro View
Why I became a sterling bull last week for a 1.30 cable target
The political drama in Westminster last week was pure Sophocles, as nemesis gutted Boris Johnson’s hubris. Boris Johnson’s agenda for a “do or die” hard Brexit was killed by two...
The Macro View
Four heartbeats of global finance in September 2019
Wall Street folklore contends that four data points reflect the interrelationship between the price of money, interest rates, the price of currency (US Dollar Index), the price...
The Macro View
Saudi Aramco’s IPO valuation and the global crude oil market
Saudi Arabia plans to accelerate the IPO timetable for Saudi Aramco, the kingdom’s flagship state owned oil and gas monopoly that happens to be the world’s most profitable...