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The construction industry post Brexit: a snapshot

by | Jan 9, 2018

The Guest Essay

The construction industry post Brexit: a snapshot

by | Jan 9, 2018

Recently Chancellor Philip Hammond announced a £31 billion fund to increase capital expenditure in the field of housing, research and development, and economic infrastructure including transport and digital communications. This fund has been announced with the pledge to ‘invest today for the economy of tomorrow’. Of the £31 billion, £11.5 billion is demarcated for housing, £7 billion for R&D, £4.9 billion for transport and £740 million for digital infrastructure to be spent between 2017-18 to 2022-23. With almost 37% of the fund demarcated for housing, this is a specific move to give boost to the UK construction industry which has been on a consistent recessionary path.

Post financial crisis, declining productivity in UK in comparison to its other trading partners such as France and Germany, has amongst other sectors of the economy also had an impact on the construction sector. An effective solution is in the form of automation which promises to increase productivity and improve efficiency, however it comes with its own set of challenges. An important question at this point is: how has the industry performed and what do experts propose on dealing with its most pressing issues?

UK construction industry: recent performance

Construction industry in Britain is facing a consistent slowdown with output contracting for the sixth consecutive period. According to the ONS, construction output fell by £553 million or 1.4% in the three month on three month time series in October 2017. The decline in construction output is derived from falls in both ‘repair and maintenance’ and ‘all new work’ which fell by 3% and 0.6% respectively. Private industrial work and public and private housing construction were the only sectors which posted a combined increase of £160 million. The UK government’s Help to Buy equity scheme has made residential property a bright spot for the industry in recent months.

Besides measuring the state of the industry through construction output, another important indicator specifying growth in the construction industry is the magnitude of ‘new orders’. Construction ‘new orders’ registered a quarter on quarter growth of 37.4% predominantly due to 174.5% growth in infrastructure which stems from the awarding of main civil engineering contracts for the stage one of the high-speed rail project. Without this growth there would have been an overall contraction due to a substantial fall in electricity projects.

Overall, eminent think tank Timetric’s Construction Intelligence Centre have forecasted to see modest growth across major markets in western Europe in 2017. More importantly, the centre believes that the UK construction sector is being weighed down by political and business uncertainty. This is due to the uncertainty regarding the course of mediation that the Brexit talks will undertake and the resulting future relationship the country would have with Europe. Of particular importance in terms of the construction industry is the implication of the negotiation process on the visa process for low skilled workers from Europe. This became the subject of much debate in a recent conference, Skills Shortage in Construction: Building the Future Post Brexit, organised by the Bartlett School of Construction and Project Management, UCL in collaboration with History & Policy on 5 October 2017.

Skills shortage conference

The conference brought together eminent historians, academics, civil servants and practitioners to discuss the current challenges the construction industry faces and find areas where proactive policy can robustly respond to challenges and ensure that the sector achieves its full potential.

One of the panels in the conference focused on skills shortage in today’s world especially post Brexit. With much of the skills deficit historically covered by migrant labour, Brexit poses difficult challenges to the construction industry. The panel focused on the threats and opportunities that construction faces post Brexit. It also discussed government’s industrial strategy aiming to increase investment to improve productivity and economic growth across UK. It also stressed the need to critically think about the effectiveness of existing educational and training arrangements to meet skills shortages in the future.

The conference also focused on how the industry is being automated in today’s world using digital tools for manufacturing design and assembly. Experts discussed the implications that automation would have on the nature of professional work and the education, demand and supply of construction professionals.

The construction industry involves multiple players and stakeholders and is therefore intricately linked to various aspects of society. Besides prioritising investments in housing, R&D and digital infrastructure, the government also needs to pay careful attention to building a skilled workforce, imparting the populace with the requisite educational and vocational skills to lead the construction industry in the future.

About Tehreem Husain

About Tehreem Husain

Tehreem Husain is a doctoral candidate at the UCL Bartlett School of Construction and Project Management. She is a regular columnist for the business pages of Pakistan's English daily newspaper, The Express Tribune, and is a blogger for Huffington Post UK. Before moving to the UK, she worked as an economic analyst at the Monetary Policy department of the State Bank of Pakistan, the country's central bank.

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