

Things are creaking along, and probably some more lumps to come, but it’s not all that bad Deep seek prelude (of Jevons and spend data) Multifamily operators getting a bit nervous All hail the mods “underwater” loans are coming due (but it really doesn’t seem...
Seven charts about real estate that were made to be gloomy, but really aren’t

Three vignettes and five charts on asset values
Too high? Too low? Just right? What do Real Estate, VC and PE have to say for themselves? We’re back. One victory lap, one ‘more of the gloomy same,’ and one green shoot of Spring. home values are not so high (says the smart money, and not just Random Walk) VC asset...
Three vignettes and five charts on asset values

There is NO housing shortage in the USA
BREAKING NEWS: researchers have now quintupled the housing shortage!!! prices came down loving that used-home smell small houses, all the rage Biggest housing shortage of all time(!) The esteemed columnists and podcasters, Matt Yglesias and Ezra Klein, recently...
There is NO housing shortage in the USA

Time to end zoning across the USA
An old doctrine of municipal control, embedded in a 100-year-old court case out of Ohio (Euclid v Ambler Realty) established separation of uses. That was perfectly fine in an era which needed a municipal tool to, say, separate hazardous and noxious manufacturing fumes...
Time to end zoning across the USA

Six US real estate themes for 2025
Trump, AVs, data centres, alternative sectors, distress, and more. As we look ahead to 2025, I’ll give the same caveat I gave last year: nobody can predict the future. If I knew were interest rates were headed, I’d be trading bonds, not writing a...
Six US real estate themes for 2025